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Red53
64014.5
659312.9
35326.8
Blue50
97135.9
260122.3
188419.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41462030506070805350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#1
26.81.1
18.419.6
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
red by 4.5
2601
#15
22.30.2
15.015.2
Auto11.5
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
6593
#17
12.91.1
12.013.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 6.9
19.80.2
17.417.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Third
6401
#30
4.51.1
7.48.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 1.4
9713
#39
5.90.2
8.89.0
Auto4.4
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed