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Red53
3695.1
317117.7
3548.6
Blue66
35326.8
642318.0
32047.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060801005366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
17.70.3
16.717.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 9.1
353
#1
26.82.5
21.824.4
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
354
#19
8.60.3
10.210.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 9.4
18.02.5
13.415.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
369
#38
5.10.3
6.26.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 2.3
3204
#25
7.42.5
8.010.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed