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Red31
81015.7
77596.4
69119.2
Blue32
2015.6
76682.1
964210.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31350102040506070803132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#12
15.70.3
12.412.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 0.1
20
#7
15.60.5
17.617.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Second
6911
#45
9.20.3
9.710.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
blue by 1.1
9642
#26
10.30.5
8.27.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
7759
#40
6.40.3
6.46.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 4.2
7668
#36
2.10.5
5.55.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed