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Red28
45718.3
17979.8
77305.2
Blue48
642318.0
362413.8
279113.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27510204060801002848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#10
9.80.1
10.810.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 8.2
18.00.6
11.712.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
4571
#47
8.30.1
8.18.3
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
blue by 5.5
3624
#21
13.80.6
14.615.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Third
7730
#44
5.20.1
8.08.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.2
13.40.6
16.617.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed