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Red103
317117.7
395011.2
179633.6
Blue26
28716.6
2506.9
68063.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62220408010010326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.62.9
28.731.6
Auto13.2
Teleop16.3
End4.0
red by 17.0
287
#27
16.60.1
12.712.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Second
3171
#16
17.72.9
15.318.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 10.8
250
#32
6.90.1
7.37.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.0
Third
3950
#22
11.22.9
7.710.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 7.5
6806
#41
3.70.1
4.84.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed