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Red95
35326.8
50167.7
3548.6
Blue22
964210.3
73183.1
26314.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41352060809522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#1
26.81.9
19.921.8
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
red by 12.1
263
#14
14.71.7
16.214.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Second
354
#19
8.61.9
8.310.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 1.7
9642
#26
10.31.7
9.37.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
5016
#23
7.71.9
7.99.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.3
red by 4.6
7318
#46
3.11.7
6.85.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed