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Red76
81015.7
4820.7
279113.4
Blue47
362413.8
573622.1
901617.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535740506070807647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#6
20.72.3
18.020.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End0.7
blue by 1.5
22.10.5
22.321.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
810
#12
15.72.3
13.015.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 2.2
9016
#13
17.90.5
13.613.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
13.42.3
17.119.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 0.4
3624
#21
13.80.5
15.214.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed