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Red71
35326.8
115515.4
22653.1
Blue45
81015.7
901617.9
45718.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801001207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#1
26.82.2
24.426.6
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
red by 8.9
9016
#13
17.90.8
13.214.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
1155
#11
15.42.2
14.516.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.7
blue by 0.3
810
#12
15.70.7
15.316.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
2265
#42
3.12.2
1.63.8
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 5.2
4571
#47
8.30.7
9.310.1
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed