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Red52
188419.8
2015.6
573622.1
Blue27
68804.6
362413.8
317117.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643920801005227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.3
23.122.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 4.4
3171
#16
17.71.2
17.716.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Second
19.80.3
17.617.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
red by 6.0
3624
#21
13.81.1
14.613.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Third
20
#7
15.60.3
14.514.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 11.0
6880
#48
4.61.2
6.25.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed