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Red34
64636.4
28716.6
77596.4
Blue60
35814.6
529811.7
26314.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24480204060803460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#27
16.60.9
14.215.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
red by 1.9
263
#14
14.70.0
13.613.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Second
6463
#35
6.40.9
5.86.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 8.2
358
#18
14.60.0
14.514.4
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Third
7759
#40
6.41.0
4.85.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 5.4
11.70.0
12.312.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned