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Red16
50167.7
32047.4
69698.5
Blue9
17979.8
97135.9
64014.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30270102040506070169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6969
#31
8.51.1
9.68.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 1.3
1797
#10
9.81.4
11.39.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Second
5016
#23
7.71.2
8.37.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.3
red by 1.7
9713
#39
5.91.4
7.35.9
Auto4.4
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Third
3204
#25
7.41.2
8.67.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End1.0
red by 2.9
6401
#30
4.51.5
6.04.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed