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Red25
68063.7
3548.6
77305.2
Blue45
35814.6
659312.9
3695.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16390102030506070802545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#19
8.60.5
9.410.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 6.0
358
#18
14.60.2
14.414.3
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Second
7730
#44
5.20.5
4.75.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 7.8
6593
#17
12.90.2
13.113.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
6806
#41
3.70.5
3.23.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 1.4
369
#38
5.10.2
5.35.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned