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Red32
81015.7
41228.2
17979.8
Blue58
2506.9
115515.4
4820.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365102060801003258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#12
15.70.2
15.915.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 5.0
48
#6
20.70.7
21.120.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End0.7
Second
1797
#10
9.80.2
10.09.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 5.6
1155
#11
15.40.7
15.915.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.7
Third
4122
#28
8.20.2
8.48.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 1.3
250
#32
6.90.7
7.46.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.0