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Red60
50167.7
188419.8
642318.0
Blue68
35814.6
901617.9
279113.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949505560656068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
19.419.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
red by 1.9
9016
#13
17.90.3
17.417.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 3.4
358
#18
14.60.2
14.014.3
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Third
5016
#23
7.70.5
7.27.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 5.7
13.40.3
12.813.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End1.6