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Red32
395110.9
51499.3
155915.4
Blue41
188017.2
2297.6
336020.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433502060801003241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#28
15.40.7
15.514.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 5.0
3360
#25
20.40.6
13.914.5
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End1.3
Second
3951
#49
10.90.9
13.312.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End1.9
blue by 6.3
1880
#26
17.20.9
9.110.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End0.6
Third
5149
#45
9.31.2
8.97.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.7
229
#50
7.60.7
10.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed