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Red92
90765.8
662114.9
317124.5
Blue40
69698.4
149325.0
588112.8
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050607080909240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16Sur
24.51.2
18.419.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 0.5
1493
#18Sur
25.00.6
17.918.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
Second
6621
#42
14.91.2
14.615.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 2.1
5881
#48
12.80.6
8.28.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
9076
#46
5.81.0
3.44.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 2.6
6969
#41
8.40.4
8.28.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed