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Red74
691117.7
760523.9
279119.9
Blue31
70307.5
962419.5
318121.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59543040507080907431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#15
23.91.1
23.724.7
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 2.7
3181
#30
21.21.2
19.918.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
19.91.2
15.917.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 0.4
9624
#12
19.51.2
20.118.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
6911
#36Sur
17.71.1
13.514.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End2.6
red by 10.2
7030
#24
7.52.0
9.47.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed