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Red63
151122.7
205316.2
975014.7
Blue28
398619.4
64635.2
66488.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801006328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#19
22.70.7
20.321.1
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
red by 3.3
3986
#39
19.40.9
19.718.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
2053
#35
16.20.8
14.014.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End2.1
red by 7.9
6648
#47
8.41.5
6.65.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Third
9750
#23
14.71.1
13.814.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 9.4
6463
#51
5.20.9
6.55.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed