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Red53
300323.3
355016.3
77187.2
Blue45
630026.6
395110.9
599311.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801005345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#14
23.30.0
23.423.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End1.0
blue by 3.4
26.60.5
20.820.2
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
16.30.0
12.812.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 5.1
5993
#37
11.20.9
11.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
7718
#43
7.20.0
7.07.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 3.8
3951
#49
10.90.6
13.813.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed