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Red30
51499.3
379925.6
2297.6
Blue37
559017.4
750414.3
90765.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51320204060801003037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.2
25.023.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.4
red by 8.2
5590
#10
17.40.6
14.114.8
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
5149
#45
9.32.0
8.46.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 4.9
7504
#17
14.30.4
12.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Third
229
#50
7.61.3
10.28.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
red by 1.8
9076
#46
5.80.4
4.44.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed