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Red74
501613.5
151122.7
630026.6
Blue85
317124.5
559017.4
341930.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5864405070807485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.8
20.521.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
blue by 3.4
30.02.9
19.822.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Second
1511
#19
22.70.8
20.821.5
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 1.8
3171
#16
24.51.7
21.022.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Third
5016
#27
13.50.8
12.213.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
blue by 3.9
5590
#10
17.42.9
16.119.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned