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Red30
395110.9
398619.4
90765.8
Blue38
599311.2
20958.3
70307.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432602060801003038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#39
19.40.6
19.118.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 8.3
5993
#37
11.20.2
10.010.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Second
3951
#49
10.90.6
13.012.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End1.9
red by 2.6
2095
#34
8.30.1
8.78.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
9076
#46
5.80.6
4.84.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 1.7
7030
#24
7.50.2
7.27.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed