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Red33
155915.4
770918.6
559017.4
Blue86
205316.2
70307.5
179643.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556902040801001201403386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#11
18.61.2
18.116.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 24.4
43.00.5
38.739.2
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Second
5590
#10
17.42.1
19.017.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 1.1
2053
#35
16.20.5
14.715.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Third
1559
#28
15.41.2
14.613.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 7.9
7030
#24
7.50.9
7.58.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed