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Red52
151122.7
90765.8
188017.2
Blue53
279119.9
300323.3
304416.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801001205253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#19
22.70.2
21.521.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 0.6
3003
#14
23.30.5
23.422.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
1880
#26
17.20.3
13.613.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End0.6
blue by 2.6
19.90.5
17.116.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Third
9076
#46
5.80.2
4.24.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 10.8
3044
#31
16.60.5
14.914.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed