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Red60
64635.2
69698.4
317339.6
Blue31
149325.0
77187.2
2297.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020801001206031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.5
35.335.8
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
red by 14.6
1493
#18
25.00.7
23.022.3
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
Second
6969
#41
8.40.5
9.09.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 0.8
229
#50
7.60.5
8.37.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Third
6463
#51
5.20.5
5.05.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 1.9
7718
#43
7.20.5
6.86.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed