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Red44
599311.2
588112.8
412214.5
Blue54
336020.4
205316.2
51499.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801004454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#22
14.50.5
13.914.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 5.9
3360
#25
20.40.6
18.519.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End1.3
Second
5881
#48
12.80.9
10.911.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 3.5
2053
#35
16.20.6
14.615.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Third
5993
#37
11.20.8
11.212.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 1.8
5149
#45
9.31.0
6.67.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed