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Red64
355016.3
962419.5
559017.4
Blue44
155915.4
20958.3
304416.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801006444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#12
19.51.0
18.519.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 2.9
3044
#31
16.60.5
13.814.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
5590
#10
17.41.6
15.817.4
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 2.0
1559
#28
15.40.5
14.515.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Third
16.31.0
14.415.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 8.0
2095
#34
8.30.5
7.88.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed