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Red100
151122.7
159134.9
341930.0
Blue32
760523.9
750414.3
975014.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9060408010012014010032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
33.234.7
Auto14.9
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 11.0
7605
#15
23.91.7
24.823.1
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Second
30.02.3
23.726.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 15.3
9750
#23
14.72.7
17.414.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
1511
#19
22.71.5
21.122.6
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
red by 8.4
7504
#17
14.31.7
15.613.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed