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Red27
662114.9
22348.4
205316.2
Blue75
379925.6
355016.3
279119.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4549304060702775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#35
16.21.8
16.614.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 9.4
25.62.8
19.322.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
6621
#42
14.91.6
15.814.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 4.9
19.92.8
13.416.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Third
2234
#38
8.41.2
8.97.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 7.9
16.32.3
10.913.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned