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Red62
317124.5
398619.4
412214.5
Blue90
317339.6
750414.3
63918.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55534050607080906290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
24.51.0
17.718.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 15.1
39.61.8
29.130.9
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
Second
3986
#39
19.41.0
19.320.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 0.9
639
#5
18.52.4
12.715.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End0.6
Third
4122
#22
14.51.0
8.29.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End0.5
red by 0.2
7504
#17
14.32.2
11.013.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned