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Red70
703110.9
20958.3
760523.9
Blue41
69698.4
304416.6
2508.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060801001201407041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#15
23.90.7
23.223.9
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 7.3
3044
#31
16.60.1
12.712.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
7031
#29
10.91.1
9.310.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
red by 2.5
250
#40
8.50.1
6.97.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.9
Third
2095
#34
8.30.7
7.68.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 0.1
6969
#41
8.40.1
8.58.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed