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Red91
975014.7
179643.0
962419.5
Blue55
90765.8
630026.6
300323.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70490204060801001201409155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.02.4
33.636.0
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 16.4
26.60.2
20.420.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
9624
#12
19.52.0
18.220.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 3.8
3003
#14
23.30.3
22.823.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Third
9750
#23
14.72.2
14.712.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 8.9
9076
#46
5.80.3
3.63.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed