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Red50
501613.5
149325.0
70307.5
Blue35
318121.2
66488.4
588112.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039203050605035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1493
#18
25.00.3
15.015.3
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End0.1
red by 3.8
3181
#30
21.20.9
21.220.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
5016
#27
13.50.2
7.77.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 0.7
5881
#48
12.81.6
9.27.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
7030
#24
7.50.3
9.69.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
blue by 0.9
6648
#47
8.41.6
8.87.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed