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Red48
20958.3
975014.7
379925.6
Blue93
179643.0
760523.9
355016.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479502060801201401604893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.0
25.125.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.4
blue by 17.4
43.00.4
42.142.4
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Second
9750
#23
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 9.3
7605
#15
23.90.4
23.123.4
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
2095
#34
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 8.0
16.30.4
15.415.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned