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Red41
77187.2
90765.8
770918.6
Blue51
412214.5
662114.9
501613.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060801004151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#11
18.60.8
17.418.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 3.7
6621
#42
14.90.1
15.114.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Second
7718
#43
7.20.8
6.47.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 7.3
4122
#22
14.50.1
14.414.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
9076
#46
5.80.8
5.05.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 7.7
5016
#27
13.50.1
13.713.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed