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Red38
2297.6
16018.2
398619.4
Blue56
2508.5
588112.8
260125.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384901020306070803856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#39
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 5.8
2601
#20
25.20.6
23.223.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
Second
1601
#44
8.20.3
8.58.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 4.6
5881
#48
12.80.9
11.812.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
229
#50
7.60.2
7.87.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 0.8
250
#40
8.50.6
7.98.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed