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Red51
66488.4
188017.2
205316.2
Blue69
630026.6
703110.9
159134.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3686020601001201401605169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#26
17.21.2
16.017.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End0.6
blue by 17.7
34.90.3
34.734.4
Auto14.9
Teleop16.6
End3.4
Second
2053
#35
16.20.9
15.216.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 10.4
26.60.3
25.625.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Third
6648
#47
8.41.3
7.18.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 2.6
7031
#29
10.90.4
11.410.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed