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Red98
317124.5
279119.9
336020.4
Blue89
151122.7
300323.3
770918.6
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080909889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
24.50.4
23.824.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 1.2
3003
#14
23.30.6
22.723.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
3360
#25
20.40.4
19.620.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End1.3
blue by 2.3
1511
#19
22.70.6
22.122.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Third
19.90.4
19.119.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 1.3
7709
#11
18.60.6
18.018.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3