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Red102
962419.5
179643.0
159134.9
Blue97
317339.6
341930.0
691117.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113895010015020010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.0
43.643.5
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 3.3
39.60.3
38.538.8
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
Second
34.90.0
35.535.4
Auto14.9
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 4.9
30.00.4
28.428.8
Auto10.9
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Third
9624
#12
19.50.0
20.120.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 1.8
6911
#36
17.70.3
16.516.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End2.6