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Red11
58069.1
51410.2
286911.3
Blue22
16018.6
28712.0
826710.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34341020304050601122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.3
blue by 0.7
287
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Second
514
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 0.4
8267
Unranked
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
5806
Unranked
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End1.0
red by 0.5
1601
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody odds20%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds