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Red18
286911.3
26312.0
64239.6
Blue12
573614.6
362410.4
56410.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36402030501812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 2.6
5736
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Second
2869
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.3
red by 0.9
564
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
6423
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 0.8
3624
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody odds21%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds