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Red46
460112.5
824315.6
217217.0
Blue55
751512.9
12021.7
260322.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060801004655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#38
17.00.8
17.818.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 5.3
2603
#20
22.31.0
13.614.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Second
8243
#14
15.61.0
10.711.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 6.1
120
#13
21.70.7
20.120.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End1.1
Third
4601
#26
12.51.0
8.29.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 0.4
7515
#31
12.90.7
12.713.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed