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Red75
408514.4
432717.1
69525.2
Blue30
746013.1
788511.5
91948.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6237020801001207530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#45
25.21.4
25.927.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End2.3
red by 12.1
7460
#30
13.12.3
15.713.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Second
4327
#29
17.11.1
16.417.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.8
End0.5
red by 5.6
7885
#35
11.52.3
9.67.3
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Third
4085
#21
14.41.9
10.912.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
red by 6.2
9194
#34
8.22.3
11.08.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed