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Red39
541312.5
45116.9
29113.4
Blue43
87184.6
170821.1
412122.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335802040801001203943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
#36
16.90.7
9.710.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 5.8
22.70.5
20.319.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Second
291
#33
13.40.7
9.09.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 7.7
1708
#10
21.10.5
21.621.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Third
5413
#47
12.50.5
13.814.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End2.2
red by 7.9
8718
#50
4.60.7
7.36.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed