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Red49
415019.3
37775.2
566719.7
Blue71
140527.2
752526.9
395417.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4176020601001201404971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#24
19.70.8
12.513.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
blue by 7.5
1405
#18
27.20.6
24.525.1
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
Second
4150
#44
19.30.7
19.620.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 7.6
26.90.4
22.222.6
Auto14.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Third
3777
#51
5.20.8
9.510.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 12.1
3954
#28
17.30.5
18.118.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed