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Red41
96536.1
871312.1
225229.0
Blue78
239918.9
549216.9
414523.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46553040506070804178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#19
29.00.2
25.225.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.8
red by 5.8
4145
#12
23.22.1
18.620.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
Second
8713
#37
12.10.2
8.68.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 6.8
2399
#17
18.92.3
18.020.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
9653
#48
6.12.8
6.18.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 10.8
5492
#27
16.92.7
12.515.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed