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Red68
217217.0
446721.6
959722.3
Blue19
405014.0
82224.1
460112.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060806819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.313.4
25.111.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
red by 8.3
4050
#15
14.01.0
9.78.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Second
4467
#22
21.62.5
15.518.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 9.1
4601
#26
12.51.2
9.48.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Third
2172
#38
17.02.2
15.717.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 12.9
8222
#53
4.11.2
10.89.6
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed