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Red45
45047.5
976712.7
415019.3
Blue54
871312.1
414523.2
37775.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060704554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#44
19.30.5
20.320.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 3.9
4145
#12
23.21.0
20.721.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
Second
9767
#46
12.70.6
7.78.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
red by 0.6
8713
#37
12.11.4
8.49.8
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
4504
#52
7.50.6
9.410.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End2.1
red by 2.3
3777
#51
5.21.4
10.311.7
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed