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Red74
350422.1
140527.2
566719.7
Blue45
618115.2
814517.5
446721.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69520204060801001201407445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#18
27.20.7
25.125.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
red by 5.7
4467
#22
21.60.5
18.017.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
3504
#16
22.10.7
21.722.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.9
End1.2
red by 4.6
8145
#42
17.50.3
16.616.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Third
5667
#24
19.71.0
13.414.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
red by 4.5
6181
#23
15.20.5
14.614.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed