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Red58
348423.3
29113.4
395417.3
Blue35
460112.5
871312.1
976712.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54270204060805835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
17.518.4
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 10.7
9767
#46
12.70.9
8.39.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Second
3954
#28Sur
17.30.9
18.619.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.1
red by 4.8
4601
#26
12.50.9
9.210.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Third
291
#33
13.41.4
9.711.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End1.0
red by 1.3
8713
#37Sur
12.10.9
9.810.7
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed